Policy Publications

Who would be affected by Capital Gains Tax reform?

Arun Advani, Andrew Lonsdale and Andy Summers (2024)
CAGE Policy Briefing 40 (February 2024)

This briefing presents new research on the distribution of capital gains and characteristics of taxpayers who receive them. It contributes to the debate on Capital Gain Tax (CGT) reform by outlining who would be most affected by changes to this tax. We investigate this question using de-identified, confidential data accessed via HMRC, which provides information on all individuals with taxable capital gains from 1997 to 2020. We show that only 3% of adults paid CGT over the decade up to 2020. Most gains go to high income individuals, with almost half going to individuals earning above £150,000. More than half of all gains go to just 5000 people – 0.01% of the population – who receive £6.8m each on average. Gains are also geographically concentrated, with more gains in Kensington than all of Wales, and more gains in Hampstead than the entire North East. Notting Hill West – a neighbourhood of 6,400 people – received more in gains over a five year period than Liverpool, Manchester and Newcastle combined

Media coverage:

Op-ed by us in The Conversation.

Reforming Inheritance Tax

Arun Advani and David Sturrock (2023)
IFS Green Budget 2023 – Chapter 7

The IFS Green Budget Chapter looks at the effects of inheritance tax reforms on tax revenue and distributional outcomes. We begin by setting out the status quo position for inheritance tax, and the likely trends in the absence of reform. We highlight a number of problems with the current form of inheritance tax, and make recommendations for reform. We then provide static costings for these reforms, as well as for increasing or decreasing the scope of the tax. This includes the possibility of abolition. Finally we study who would benefit from these reforms, by wealth level of the person leaving the inheritance, by region of the country, and for recipients by wealth level of their parent.

 

Media coverage: 

 

Coverage in FT, Times, Guardian, Sky, Bloomberg, Independent, i, Express, and Daily Mail.
Op-ed in the New Statesman.

How is evidence used in tax policy making?

Thomas Pope, Gemma Tetlow and Arun Advani (August 2023)
Institute for Government

A key tenet of good policy making is use of the best available evidence. Tax is an important policy area, and one where a wealth of evidence – quantitative and qualitative analysis, and broader intelligence and insights – is generated by researchers, practitioners and officials. This report documents how different types of evidence feed into tax policy making. By highlighting the role evidence plays, and which types of evidence have an impact at different stages of the process, we aim to help external stakeholders to understand how the evidence they produce is used and how they could better feed into policy making. We also provide recommendations for how government can further shift its approach, already improved in recent years, to enhance the quality of the evidence base and to use this more effectively.

 

Wealth tax: the debate continues

Arun Advani, Emma Chamberlain and Andy Summers (2023)

Tax Journal, Issue 1630

This letter responds to an article in an earlier issue: “A lively article in this journal asks the question ‘Is now a sensible time to introduce a wealth tax in the UK?‘ (D Hanna, Tax Journal, 7 June 2023). Its subtitle contains the answer ‘Not if Norway is any guide.’ The search for international examples is a natural one, but it is also fraught with danger unless we try to understand the overall policy context.” 

 

Non-doms: basics and case for reform

Arun Advani, David Burgherr and Andy Summers (2022)

This short note summarises some key facts about non-doms, and explains the case for reform to the current regime. It first explains briefly what it means to be a non-dom, the tax advantages this can bring, the costs associated with use of these tax benefits, and past reforms to the regime. It then provides some key statistics on non-doms in the UK. Finally, we explain why the regime is in need of reform.

 

Reforming the non-dom regime: revenue estimates

Arun Advani, David Burgherr and Andy Summers (2022)
CAGE Policy Briefing 38

This CAGE Policy Briefing studies the offshore income and capital gains of the UK’s ‘non-doms’ – individuals who are resident in the UK but who claim on their tax return that their permanent home (‘domicile’) is abroad. We use de-identified confidential data accessed via HMRC to analyse all individuals who have claimed non-dom status between 1997 and 2018. We show non-doms at least £10.9 billion in offshore income and gains. Most of these unreported income and gains (55%) belong to non-doms who arrived in the UK in the past five years. Looking at previous reforms that restricted access to the non-dom regime, we see these led to very little emigration. Those who did leave were paying hardly any tax. Consequently, abolishing the non-dom regime would raise at least £3.2 billion even after accounting for migration and other tax planning, and the loss of existing revenue from the remittance basis charge.

 

Media coverage:

 

Coverage in Guardian, Independent Financial Times, and FT Adviser.
Op-ed by us in New Statesman.

 

 

The UK’s ‘non-doms’: Who are they, what do they do, and where do they live?

Arun Advani, David Burgherr, Mike Savage and Andy Summers (2022)
CAGE Policy Briefing 36

This CAGE Policy Briefing studies the UK’s ‘non-doms’ – individuals who are resident in the UK but who claim on their tax return that their permanent home (‘domicile’) is abroad. We use de-identified confidential data accessed via HMRC to analyse all individuals who have claimed non-dom status between 1997 and 2018. We show non-doms are globally connected and economically elite: almost all were either born abroad or have lived abroad for substantial periods, and their incomes are very high. Non-doms are highly likely to work in finance and other ‘City’ jobs. They tend to come from Western Europe, India and the US. Within the UK they largely reside in and around London, although there are sizeable shares in Oxford and Cambridge, working in research and education, and in Aberdeen, working in oil.

 

 

 

Who are the super-rich? The wealth and connections of the Sunday Times Rich List

Arun Advani, Andy Summers and Hannah Tarrant (2022)
CAGE Policy Briefing 37

This CAGE Policy Briefing studies the individuals who make up the UK’s Sunday Times Rich List (STRL). These are the 1000 richest people or families with strong ties to the UK. We link together information in the STRL with multiple other data sources to analyse the foreign connections of STRL members, the industries with which they are associated, and their corporate ties to UK land and property. One in seven appear not to be UK resident for tax purposes. Among billionaires, one in seven are located in tax havens. Collectively they own almost £2 trillion in UK wealth.

Media coverage:
Coverage in Independent.

 

 

 

Fixing the gaps in National Insurance: A better way to fund social care

Arun Advani, Helen Hughson, Andy Summers and Hannah Tarrant (2021)
CAGE Policy Briefing 33

This CAGE Policy Briefing studies alternatives to the government’s new Health and Social Care Levy. Using publicly accessible tax data from HMRC, we find that removing the current National Insurance exemptions for investment income and people of pension age would raise £12 billion. This is the same amount of revenue as the Government is targeting from its new Levy. Equalising National Insurance on higher earnings with the rates already paid by lower earners could raise an additional £20 billion. This would be enough to fund a cut in the main rate of NICs by 1.25p, instead of raising these rates, as the government is planning. Under this alternative package of reforms, more of the revenue would come from London and the South East, and from older, wealthier individuals.

Media coverage:
Coverage in Guardian and Times.

 

 

 

A wealth tax for the UK

Arun Advani, Emma Chamberlain and Andy Summers (2020)
Final Report of the Wealth Tax Commission

This report presents the final findings of the Wealth Tax Commission into whether the UK should have a wealth tax. It concludes that if the government chooses to raise taxes in response to COVID, it should implement a one-off wealth tax in preference to increasing taxes on work or consumption.

Media coverage:

 

 

 

Capital Gains and UK Inequality: New evidence from tax microdata

Arun Advani and Andy Summers (2020)
CAGE Policy Briefing 19 

This briefing summarises new research on the impact of capital gains – which are excluded from existing income statistics – on measured inequality in the UK

 

 

 

 

Who gains? The importance of accounting for capital gains

Adam Corlett, Arun Advani & Andy Summers
Resolution Foundation May 2020

Household income statistics are a crucial lens for understanding UK living standards and inequalities. But what counts as ‘income’ is not always clear-cut. Capital gains (the profits from disposing of an asset for more than it was worth when you acquired it) are not included in existing UK income statistics.
This exclusion – part of a broader exclusion of irregular receipts – has led to some important trends being missed. In this report we set out what we know about taxable capital gains over recent years; share ground-breaking research that shows the effects of including capital gains in top income measures; and discuss whether and how the UK’s income statistics could be improved To account for a broader range of income.

 

 

 

 

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The Centre for the Analysis of Taxation (CenTax) is a new centre dedicated to advancing knowledge and understanding of taxation, and making the evidence-informed case for reform to policymakers and the public. CenTax is led by Dr Arun Advani (Warwick) and Dr Andy Summers (LSE). CenTax is supported by core funding from the abrdn Financial Fairness Trust and Thirty Percy.